Voters, stay-at-home and profit local parties: this is how the Netherlands voted

Yesterday, half of the electors went to the polling stations; the other half stayed at home. However, there are large differences locally and between population groups, according to research by Ipsos commissioned by deCCeit.

So noticeably more women stayed at home than men. With 57 percent a large majority of men voting, women stayed at home by majority: among women, attendance was 44 percent.

The number of men who voted also fell far less sharply than the number of women. In 2018, 60 percent of men voted, 3 percentage points more than today. The share of women voters emerged was 51 percent four years ago, 7 percentage points more than this year.

Education attainment also played a major role in the turnout.

More than 6 out of 10 highly educated people went to the ballot box, more than twice as much as low educated:

Among the age groups, attendance among over 70 people was highest and among 18 to 24-year-olds the lowest. However, an older age is not necessarily accompanied by a higher turnout: for example, 25 to 34-year-olds used their voting rights more often than people in their late 30s and 40s.

Hustle and bustle in Rozendaal, Schiermonnikoog and Staphorst

Locally, there were major differences in the rise, according to the ANP election results. In Rotterdam. Almere and Roosendaal stayed 6 out of 10 voters at home, while in Schiermonnikoog and Rozendaal a large majority of 8 out of 10 people did go to the ballot box. Incidentally, that is still a slight decrease in those municipalities compared to the previous municipal elections.

In Staphorst, Urk and Veere, too, was busy in the voting rooms. Those municipalities color dark red on the map below.

On the second map it can be seen that the turnout was higher mainly in the north of the Netherlands than four years ago:

The turnout declined the strongest in Lelystad: in 2018, 51.2 percent of the voting rights came to the polling station there, now that was 41 percent. The attendance rate also went down considerably in Waddinxveen, Brunssum and Weert. In Edam-Volendam, Haarlemmermeer and Midden-Groningen, the turnout rose considerably, in each of those municipalities by more than 10 percentage points.

Although the turnout in large cities such as Amsterdam, Rotterdam and The Hague was low, relatively few people went to the voting booth in recent days: 47 percent. The turnout was highest in “moderately urban” areas, namely 58 percent. The rise in the major cities and the peripheral cities around them was average, with 51 percent.

From rural to local

Local parties succeeded in strengthening their already dominant position in the city councils. More than a third of the council seats in the Netherlands will soon be occupied by politicians from parties who are not active at national or provincial level.

More than a third of the voters who went for a local party voted for the VVD or D66 in last year‘s parliamentary elections, according to the Ipsos investigation. Those two government parties are still the biggest of all national parties, but they both won considerably fewer votes than in the previous municipal elections.

People who voted for a local party now chose VVD, D66 and PVV in the national elections last year. The latter party participated in not all municipalities:

By the way, CDA voters are relatively single, despite feared image damage: 41 percent of the people who colored the box of the Christian Democrats red last year did so again. With fellow government parties VVD and D66, that percentage was a lot lower by 29 and 27.

Smaller parties and newcomers such as the SGP, Volt, Bij1 and BBB were not to make the comparison between the House of Representatives and the municipal elections, because the number of voters on those parties was too low in absolute numbers. See also accountability at the bottom of this article.

Vote locally or stay at home

The SP, which lost a lot of votes, is also striking in this regard. The dates of the Ipsos survey show that only 16 percent of voters who voted for the national SP last year now also chose socialists at the municipal level. More than a quarter of them voted for a local party instead, while more than a third of SP voters were not going to vote at all.

More than half

of the people who voted for Democracy and the PVV last year, even more than half stayed at home this year. Those parties also did not participate in all 333 municipalities where elections were held yesterday. The same was true for the SP, of which some local departments had become dissimilar with the national party board.

Ultimately, the SP was on the list in 86 municipalities, Fvd in 50 municipalities and the PVV in 31 municipalities. Fvd received 1.1 percent of the votes, accounting for a small50 seats.

over 50s

About two-thirds of people who voted for a local party are over 50 years old. Only 5 percent of the votes on local parties came from voters between the ages of 18 and 24.

VVD, CDA, SP and PvdA also received a relatively large number of votes from over 50′s. More than half of the votes on those parties came from voters from that age group.