If curfew is introduced, and people adhere to it, significantly fewer people will get into the car, train or bus between 8:30 and 04:30. At present, on the road and in public transport in the evening and night is considerably more crowded than in the first week of corona measures.
On the road last week on working days between 8 and 4 am was almost 19 percent busier than in the week of 16 to 22 March last year. This is evidenced by figures provided by the National Data Portal Road Traffic, the central collection point of traffic data, to DeccEit. The NDW measures traffic on motorways, provincial roads and cities, and includes cyclists as well as car and freight traffic.
The chart below shows how much traffic was in week 10 of 2020 (for the corona measures), two weeks later and last week. The numbers are the averages of more than 200 measuring points. On weekend evenings the difference was even bigger, last weekend there was over 31 percent more traffic than in the measured week in March last year.
In public transport, on average, over 75,000 times a day were checked in between 20:00 and 04:00 on average during the week of 16 to 22 March last year. Last week, that was almost 106,000 times. This can be derived from Translink data, where all public transport movements are measured.
Last week there were significantly more people traveling on Saturday evening and Sunday evening. In the measured week in March there was no difference between weekdays and weekend days.
The total number of checkers in public transport fell by 85 to 90 percent during the first lockdown compared to the same period for corona, now its about 70 percent less.
The data of Translink and NDW do not exactly match the hours the curfew will apply, because it is counted in whole hours.